Better than we thought. Lowell has dropped Nordic assets into a new SPV, financed by a €200m ABS Receivables Facility, which has been
Please find our updated analysis of Lowell here.
Having long collected debts on either side of its balance sheet, Lowell now seems to collect restructurings. The currently rumoured LME seems only
It’s going faster than we thought. As per our previous note, hiring Teneo was never going to be about a routine business forecast. We understand the
Sky News are reporting that Lowell has hired Teneo to forecast its financials - not the sort of thing one hires Teneo for, only months after the restructuring. Fundamentally,
As the dust is settling, we are most occupied with the idea that a smaller business should succeed in servicing the same interest burden that the
The Dutch auction that forms part of the restructuring has been slightly upsized to €194m and is now concluded,
Lowell announced the official completion of its restructuring program today, as well as the buy-back of Wolf-1 and a new Wolf-4 transaction for net
Following a protracted negotiation with its RCF and since then a number of extensions, Lowell yesterday (on the evening of its
Lowell has extended the consent solicitation again, to June 18th. The reason for the repeated extensions appears to be the
A lonely call this morning, as bonds are locked up and the RCF lenders have all agreed. Still, we have had difficulty modelling the significant uptick in collections that
We have uploaded a slightly revised analysis. We have made no changes to any of the conclusions.
Please find our updated analysis of Lowell here.
Elephants don't fly. Unless GMMs expand vastly (to 3x) and presto, the company won’t be able to fund its interest payments without selling
Following last week’s announcement of its agreement with the RCF lenders, Lowell have begun the execution process with a consent solicitation to
The debt collector has reached the outstanding agreement with its RCF lenders, which for some time suffered from providing insufficient incentives. We
There are press reports that the company has hired Barclay’s to sell its Nordic business. The valuation of €730m that is circulating is
The restructuring is finally getting done with enough backing to implement the deal under the bond documentation. The deal now includes
It’s another early bird extension to Friday morning 10 am. Consent can’t be far off anymore, but we are not fans of the deal.
The company has again extended its early bird deadline, now to 10am tomorrow. The short second extension would suggest the company is
50% sign-up to the restructuring plan is still a long way off. Initial levels at Intrum have been similar, but Intrum got a big boost when the 2024s rolled
Without another Balance Sheet Velocity (asset sale/layering) transaction, Cash EBITDA leverage is naturally creeping up. However, we have not been
Being a slow-moving underlying business, quarterly figures did not deviate far from projections, which themselves were closely guided already. The call did
Please find our updated analysis of Lowell here.
Having done endless work on the name in 2020, we find the situation relatively clear-cut now. Back then, selling CDS to fill the gap was a natural strategy. Now the ends are
It’s been coming. Lowell and its bondholders have picked GS+PJT and PWP respectively. As per our previous stance, Lowell is the far
Compared to Intrum, Lowell is a far simpler company with less geographical diversification and only a small servicing business that won’t
We understand the company has hired GS to advise on its balance sheet. The choice of advisors is remarkable as we believe GS to have
Last week, we had the Q1 call without the financials. Those, management promised, would be signed the same day. As of this
Looks like we have to engage with management to get us white-listed again. We were again culled from the Q&A. The quarter offered little
Have we had an epiphany, or are we going mad? For the first time, we’ve been culled from the Q&A - a signal that management are more nervous about the refinancing
Iquera hired advisors yesterday - the bonds tanked some 30 points. We don’t know the company all that well yet, but it's been engaged in ABS transactions in
Please find our unchanged analysis of Lowell here.
As is easily the case in a trade that isn’t based on solid fundamentals, but rather on the market itself, the fundamentals play out, but by that time the