Kem One - Market Forces - Positioning

Unfortunately, due to a lack of available borrow, we have exited our short position in Kem One. When we took our short position, borrow was available, but we are closing now to reflect the reality of the market. We have updated our model and further expanded on our analysis of what the next steps will be for the Company and bondholders.

Kem One Credit Research, Analysis, Capital Structure
Tomás Mannion
Rekeep - The Italian drivers

We have revisited our Rekeep model and delved further into the segmental data that Rekeep provides. This enables us to make some additional observations, including the differences between the international Facility Management business and the traditional/Italian segment. The numbers are slightly complicated because of the subdivision of the energy segment, which has just commenced. Despite this, the data provides additional insight into the Rekeep business, further supporting our investment decision.

Commercial activity and positive cash flow are the perennial focus for Rekeep investors. We concur, but we find additional moving parts that further influence our investment decision.

Rekeep Credit Research, Analysis, Capital Structure
Tomás Mannion
Cerba - Next steps

We are maintaining our position in Cerba following the publication of the Q2 numbers. We have updated and refined our forecasts for the coming 18 months.  With a restructuring imminent, we have expanded on our previous liquidity scenarios, examining the options available to the Company over the coming quarters.

Cerba Credit Research, Analysis, Capital Structure
Tomás Mannion
Transcom - Altor on hold - Positioning

With the upcoming debt maturities now well understood by the market, we have revisited the full range of options available to all stakeholders. Building on our earlier analysis, we continue to assess scenarios that include both an equity injection and a partial write-off of existing debt as possible routes to achieving an extension of Transcom’s maturity profile. That said, the most recent set of financial results, which were notably below expectations, offer little support to the Company’s refinancing ambitions. In the aftermath of the second quarter results, we have re-examined the probability of each refinancing scenario materialising, which in turn has led us to reconsider our previous investment view.

Transcom Credit Research, Analysis, Capital Structure
Tomás Mannion