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Intro, Capital and Legal Structure - 5 Dec 24

Company and Industry - 5 Dec 24

Modelling, FCF, Leverage - 5 Dec 24

Refi, Game Theory + Recap - 5 Dec 24

Investment Discussion - 5 Dec 24
Please find our updated analysis of Adler Pelzer here.
At face value, the bonds look refinanceable. A tidy 1.5x FCCR should usually do. However, the picture deteriorates when taking into
Capitalised Assets and R&D Costs of €17,6m added to €45.5m of CapEx = €63m, which does not begin to equate to the
Adler Pelzer slightly beat our expectations with Q325 EBITDA coming in some €5m better than forecast. CapEx remained
Keeping the price high has allowed incumbent creditors to keep out more aggressive funds that would be ready to own the
We are reading this morning that some APG bondholders have stopped lending out their bonds, driving a squeeze of
It’s Friday, and the market is not so friendly. Having sent out our IM on APG only yesterday, in which we decided to wait for
Please find our updated analysis of Adler Pelzer here.
We had been short this name at the end of last year, but this time there is a more concrete set of catalysts, including a relatively hard stop around
We are reading news reports or rumours that Adler Pelzer, advised by Barclays, have begun working on the refinancing. The solution is
We are buying back our short in the name at par after bleeding away the coupon for too long. The business is surviving the tariff terror in the US, and that
So Adler Pelzer's EBITDA has been outperforming our forecast recently, even if at the cash level we haven’t seen the difference, but the call may just have provided the answer as to why. There appears to be a €20m reclassification of R&D expenses into CapEx, as new launches are being postponed. The performance is therefore
Adler Pelzer beat our expectations in Q2, primarily due to lower tooling business than last year. Otherwise, the quarter looked in line with
As tariffs continue to influence market dynamics, we've taken a comprehensive look across our coverage to highlight the names most likely to be affected. For full transparency, we've also included those that remain unaffected—it's just as important to understand where the impact isn't being felt.
The idea here is
In what could be a cautionary note for other auto suppliers, Schaeffler issued a profit warning this morning reducing its EBIT margin from a market consensus of
Please find our update on Adler Pelzer here.
We have been reviewing our automotive names side-by-side, so as to create a bit of an industry view and ensure we view each bottom-up name in a
We are slightly puzzled about what Adler Pelzer need €185m minimum cash for, but the entrance of the Hayashis and the partially drawn RCF suggest, and now the
Please find our updated analysis of Adler Pelzer here.
Clearly, the market is a lot more bullish on European automotive than we are. At least, neither the non-cash earnings lifting APG's EBITDA, nor the
Revenues in EMEA are 10% down and worse than feared, but Asia and Mercosur outperformed. Overall revenue is as expected. We have reallocated past
Please find our initiation on Adler Pelzer here.
The name has been a familiar HY / distressed staple for the last 20 years, and yet it’s been a long time since any one of us has covered the company and a few