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Introduction 23/07/2021

Supply Chain, Feed Prices 23/07/2021

Investment Discussion 23/07/2021
The appointment of a new head for the Meals and Bakery business may be a sign of changes; we expect this division will eventually be
The upgrade to B+ will not make too much difference to the potential holder base, as the company rating was already B. We are sceptical that the current
Please find our slightly updated model here.
Boparan delivered full-year results ahead of our expectations, and whilst we expect some pressure on poultry margins as grocers are forced to
The Q4 numbers exceeded our expectations, but we expect FYE 2026 to be tougher, as grocery customers seek to shore up their
We expect the Meals and Bakery business to eventually be sold by Boparan. The rescue of Roberts Bakery by the Boparan Private Office suggests a
Please find our updated analysis here.
Boparan has performed better than we anticipated since it completed its refinance in November 2024. We remain concerned that inflation,
Revenue and EBITDA (including margins) were ahead of our estimates. Poultry benefited from destocking, which boosted prices. However,
Purchasing the other 50% of the Hook2Sisters will give the Boparan Family Office more opportunities to manage the margins at
Quickly finding a replacement for the old CFO is a positive for Boparan/2 Sisters. With the refinance behind them, the new CFO has
Congratulations to Ranjit Boparan for finishing the London Marathon and raising £140k for charity.
Topline and Gross Profit/EBITDA were broadly in line with our estimates; operating cash flow was higher due to a better-than-expected payables performance in
Sourcing some of its chicken from Germany is more about ASDA’s lower prices campaign than it is about supply chain challenges. It sends a warning shot to
CMA approval for the Boparan family to purchase ForFarmers may provide some scope to support Boparan, but with 75% of sales subject to ratchets
Please find our new analysis here.
Boparan got its refinancing away in November 2024, pushing its maturities to November 2029. Part of the European Poultry business was disposed of,
The impact of Avian Flu on Boparan is small so far. In Norfolk, four farms have reported cases and a handful of new control zones have been set up; the control zones