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Capital Structure - 12 Nov 25
Fundamentals - 12 Nov 25
Valuation - 12 Nov 25
Interest Coverage - 12 Nov 25
Games Theory - 12 Nov 25
Investment Discussion - 12 Nov 25
Presentation
Following their recent jump, bonds will struggle to do any better on the Q126 release. Revenues in the LPCS division beat our expectations by
There should be no change to bond pricing on the news this morning that Fedrigoni will again defer its coupon on its
The FY25 report should not move the bonds. Revenue came in on target, but IFRS 16 EBITDA was better by €4m. Another €6m of incremental €6m of
Correction: In our Q325 update yesterday, we should have chosen our words more carefully. The company has a net leverage - maintenance - covenant of 4.6x that
Please find our updated analysis on Fedrigoni here.
Considering the renewed sell-off of luxury equities this year, the bonds once again look richer than Fedrigoni’s end clients. While GY26 should largely
Guidance on yesterday’s call was positive. Management is seeing volumes bottom out around current levels, which means there will be
Mixed Signals. LPCS revenues are down significantly, even as fillers are keeping the machines running. At EBITDA level, however, the division has
Please find our initiation on Fedrigoni here.
There must have been a period when Italians produced only paper; such is their density of abandoned paper mills. Particularly, the north of the country is littered with forgotten sub-scale sites that went out of business long ago. We may be biased, but we struggle to think of any paper/packaging HY issuer that has never been in trouble. Please let us know if you can think of one.