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Intro, Cap, Legal Structure-12Dec24

Model - 12 Dec 24

Business and Industry - 12 Dec 24

Way Forward, Options Available - 12 Dec 24

CAPEX and Background - 12 Dec 24

Q&A, Investment Discussion - 12 Dec 24

Current Situation - 12 Dec 24
Kem One’s performance continues to deteriorate, and with no CEO, it is not a surprise that bondholders are organising. The question is, is it too late?
With the bonds trading at c.30%, a further cash injection is likely to be required at Kem One. With this background, it is no surprise that
Please find our model, post Kem One's Q2 results here.
We are writing to inform you that we are covering our short position in Kem One bonds due to the current unavailability of borrow. This decision is not
We commented on the Q2 results yesterday, but a brief note on the Company’s recent conference call is warranted. Management’s remarks offered
Kem One bondholders held exploratory talks with law firm Paul Hastings earlier this month, exploring options in the event of a second restructuring. Q2 results remove
The new Idea Pitch videos are now available: Amara NZero, Emeria, Kem One and Rekeep.
You can find them on the Sarria website landing page as well as on each individual company’s dedicated page.
Moody’s downgraded Kem One further to Caa3, while keeping the outlook negative. The bonds continue the spiral downwards and are
Liam Nolan, from FTI Consulting, has been appointed CFO at Kem One. Mr Nolan, who has extensive experience in restructuring,
Please find our model update for Q1 numbers here.
The only thing that Kem One’s Q1 results confirmed is that there is no sign of a recovery. Operationally, Kem One restarted production in
Management's approach during yesterday's call came across as somewhat defensive, as they maintained the position that
No sign of life in the European PVC markets with Kem One experiencing lower volumes than last year, and demand in Europe and the
Kem One held its Q4 and FY24 call yesterday, but it was very much backwards-focused and would only answer questions about FY24 performance. Management reiterated
Kem One released its Annual Report this morning and will hold a conference call tomorrow (Thursday) afternoon at 2:30 pm. As part of the cleansing presentation,
Please find our unchanged analysis here.
The recent turmoil in the markets has resulted in the Kem One bonds trading down 10 points from levels seen just after the confirmation of the
Although the new Super Senior facility has given Kem One some liquidity, we maintain that without a recovery in the PVC market, liquidity will
Please find our updated analysis post the cleansing document on the new super senior facility here.
The new Draw Term Loan has given clarity and liquidity to Kem One. However, the fundamental problems remain. The prolonged downturn in recent years
Kem One has announced the anticipated new money finance to meet its liquidity needs, settling on €200m, €120m funded at closing and €80m effectively as a
Kem One bondholders have organised under law firm Paul Hastings, to provide additional new money or, more importantly, to ensure any new money providers don’t
Kem One bondholders have appointed Paul Hasting as legal adviser as the Company struggles with continued weakness in the PVC market. It is reported that
Please find our model on Kem One here.
After a brief conversation on the desk, the consensus is that Kem One is not investible at the current time. The current outlook for PVC and caustic soda, especially given the excess capacity in the European market, implies EBITDA will remain subdued in
