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NORDEX

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sarria news - nordex
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Jun 2, 2020
Wolfgang Felix
The bullish view
Jun 2, 2020
Wolfgang Felix

We are definitively working on more short ideas, but here goes a different view. Below is my entry for graph of the month.
The market has traded up

Jun 2, 2020
Wolfgang Felix
Apr 6, 2020
Wolfgang Felix
Nordex - A closer look at order volumes and their effect
Apr 6, 2020
Wolfgang Felix

Please find our update on Nordex here.

The company’s new family of D-4000 turbines has proven to be immensely successful, allowing the company entry into the US and other markets and promising improved margins for this year and next. Order books are overflowing.

However, 

Apr 6, 2020
Wolfgang Felix
Oct 8, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Nordex - here comes the cash squeeze
Oct 8, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

We had modelled the cash squeeze at Nordex in all its detail late last year, but the company exceeded our expectations, or the Delta 4000 did. AS such, Nordex can probably make

Oct 8, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Aug 14, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Nordex - preparing to buy back
Aug 14, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

Sales are slightly weaker and gross margin slightly stronger than we expected from the order/volume ratio previously communicated. But in the scheme of things

Aug 14, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Jun 2, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Nordex - Still no explanation from management on comments made during call
Jun 2, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

please find our updated analysis on Nordex here. 

The company has still not answered our questions regarding sustainability of the elevated prepayment levels and covenant

Jun 2, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Apr 25, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Senvion - updated model and analysis
Apr 25, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

All,

Please find a light update to the model and analysis here.

We repeat that we would not be exposed to Senvion at

Apr 25, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Apr 15, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Senvion second consent solicitation
Apr 15, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

Regarding Senvion Consent Solicitation:

Again, as per the first consent solicitation, this is a formality as the majority of the bonds is already controlled

Apr 15, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Apr 10, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Senvion GmbH - files for insolvency
Apr 10, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

Senvion GmbH have filed for Insolcency in Germany - specifically for a procedure that allows for a self administration (DIP) process, where management stay in control. 

Apr 10, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Apr 9, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Senvion - announce successful consent
Apr 9, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

Senvion announce that the consent solicited last week has been obtained

Apr 9, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Apr 8, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Senvion - company's comment on financing
Apr 8, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

As per pour mail last week, Senvion have still not found a financing solution and cash is running extremely tight.

Apr 8, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Apr 5, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Senvion - Consent Solicitation
Apr 5, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

Senvion are out with a consent solicitation. The request is to raise the threshold for acceleration of the bonds from 25% to 50%. 

Apr 5, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Apr 4, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Nordex - Short
Apr 4, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

Having dodged the Q4 bonanza, we are putting the short on again with 4% of NAV for now. We are looking to capture 30+ points of downside. Please find the updated analysis

Apr 4, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Mar 27, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Sarria News: Nordex, Intralot, Steinhoff
Mar 27, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

Correction: the Polish business made Zero Ebitda in 2018. This means the value to bondholders is primarily in the cash consideration the company receives from

Mar 27, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Mar 27, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Sarria News - Nordex, Intralot, Steinhoff
Mar 27, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

Nordex reported much as expected yesterday. Most importantly, management pledged a frugal approach to pre-producing turbines, which could quickly put their balance sheet

Mar 27, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Mar 26, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Three items today: Nordex, Senvion, Steinhoff
Mar 26, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

Nordex are to report their 2018 statements (recall that we have taken the short off). We expect a sudden movement into a net cash position on the back of significant prepayments on orders won in

Mar 26, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Mar 20, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Senvion internal memo has been leaked
Mar 20, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

An internal memo by Senvion CEO Yves Rannou has been leaked. 

It gives no specifics unfortunately, but it does support our thesis that:

1) The turbine portfolio is narrow, but - for lack of sharing

Mar 20, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Mar 15, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Senvion - Triton double equity for Flaekt Woods
Mar 15, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

Following lender's rejection of Triton’s initial offer some two weeks ago, Triton have agreed to inject E50m in cash through additional equity.

Mar 15, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Mar 14, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Nordex - a detailed update
Mar 14, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

We have given our Nordex analysis a detailed update. Following the company’s recent guidance for the full year, there is little point in keeping our short open

Mar 14, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Feb 21, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Nordex are out with guidance
Feb 21, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Feb 21, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Jan 21, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
Nordex
Jan 21, 2019
Wolfgang Felix

As we are expanding to coverage of 20 names in the coming weeks, please find attached a slightly higher level analysis

Jan 21, 2019
Wolfgang Felix
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