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Capital and Legal Structure- 27 Feb 23

Investment Discussion - 27 Feb 23

Description - 27 Feb 23

MLM Business Model - 27 Feb 23

Model and Cash Flow - 27 Feb 23
Q125 revenues were better. The company had slightly underperformed our model in 2024, but on the face of it, the drop in revenues appears to be
The support for the restructuring is forthcoming, surpassing 91% according to a press release, allowing the
Overall, we rate this a win for the family. The reinstated bonds are to toggle between 8% cash and 12.5% PIK, and are receiving 2L status, but are running for
The retirement of the company’s main plant in Poland had been discussed and is genuinely aimed at improving operations and resource
Atos issued a business plan in early September, so the Q3 numbers to the end of September were previously guided. The actual numbers confirm
Results this morning are a continuation of the membership tailspin the company has been in for years now, even as it seems to be slowing to inside -
RCF lenders ING and HSBC have hired Teneo in addition to Linklaters to deal with the company’s proposals. Meanwhile, over 75% of
The ad-hoc group holding close to 75% have signed a cooperation agreement and advisors Moelis are out asking holders to contact them to
Oriflame published a pre-recorded call yesterday and announced the transfer of four subsidiaries out of the restricted group, stating: "we are in active discussions to
Please find our updated analysis of Oriflame here.
It’s finally happening. Membership is beginning to turn around and even a little faster than we imagined. But that’s the good news - all of it. The turnaround is effectively too
Oriflame results today were miserable as usual but better than forecast - for the first time... Specifically, the company improved its GM vs. last quarter by more than expected and almost to last year's level (which was
Please find our updated analysis of Oriflame here.
So the Felix household bought a blender the other day. It’s a great way to fix up smoothies in no time and it’s striking to see the ingredients blend to the point where they are no longer recognisable. In a way, Oriflame results in the last six months have been strikingly
The company delivered results close to advertised - in particular regarding its turnaround program, which is encouraging of course. Members and sales however
Just after writing that this should take a little longer, we are hearing that the company have already retained Rothschilds and rumour has it that
Please find our updated and improved model of Oriflame here.
Even Sweden has Fata Morganas. Or so it appeared to us when we saw progress evaporate in Q3, pushing out any stabilisation by another few quarters. The new cost savings program appears
Results this quarter were again behind our expectations. Management, sounding much improved this time, outlined its cost restructuring plan, which
Please find our updated analysis of Oriflame here.
On the surface, little has changed since we last looked at the name ahead of its Q2 results. It remains as uninvestible as it was then. But aside from bonds trading down and then seemingly catching a bid in the 30s, at least one metric has continued to improve, such that for a
Members fell even faster than we had projected and so did revenue. As most dissenting members are the novices (think churn is 80%), we now see revenue/member almost
Please find our updated analysis here.
It’s less a question of price than it is of time. The bonds have dropped just above 50c/€ as not even the much anticipated China reopening could arrest the ongoing slide of member numbers and consequently of revenue. Not a single region is visibly
Please find our updated analysis of Oriflame here.
We had been more negative than many with whom we discussed the name earlier this year, but the results in fact undercut even our expectations. By comparison the bonds are however