Posts tagged PUNCH
Punch - For Different Reasons- Model Update - Positioning

Please find our updated analysis of Punch here.

Too tight for our usual demand profile, Pubs are still better than cash and just as safe - these days anyway. So perhaps considering that we are already long Stonegate, it follows that we are also going long Punch, but we do so for a different reason. Stonegate is a momentum trade. The company still doesn't quite earn what it must, but positive momentum carries it. Punch does earn what it must and is taking advantage of its less liquid peers. This almost certainly means that Fortress will be looking to take bondholders for a ride again, but at this rate of investment in the estate and Punch's relative advantage in this business rates environment mean that we would sell this to our mothers.

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Wolfgang FelixPUNCH
Punch - Post refi

Please find our updated analysis of Punch here.


Following its refinancing in Q325, 7% YTW seem adequate for the better of the two UK pub companies. Yes, that is Punch being better than Stonegate as the latter is

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Wolfgang FelixPUNCH
Punch - comment

Punch results came in right on target this morning. We are initially not finding anything extraordinary to report on the name, but will scrutinise results later in the day.

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Wolfgang FelixPUNCH
Punch - Timing

Please find our updated analysis of Punch here. 

As we’ve been saying before, this name should refinance soon. If we were management we would not hold out to next year for the last 1.5 points of call protection but

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Wolfgang FelixPUNCH