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Travelodge Client Call | Thursday 21 May, 3 pm BST | 10 am EST
Capital Structure - 21 May 26
Base Case EBITDA, Cashflow - 21 May 26
DCF Valuation, DCF Issues - 21 May 26
Game Theory - 21 May 26
Investment Discussion - 21 May 26
Presentation
Good for the bonds. The company outperformed our forecast in two key areas: revenues and M&A outflow. The former is also set to
We are not short these bonds because of the rich coupon that would burn a hole in our pocket. But unless the company can guide to strong occupancy over the summer, we are inclined to
Please find our updated analysis here.
We feel reminded of Emeria. Strong fundamentals conflict with challenging technicals, where a valuable company runs an outsized M&A and CapEx program to put its liquidity under pressure at the wrong moment. But that is where the similarities end. Documentation and legal setup are very different, and Travelodge still has one or two more cards to play to buy itself a little more time if it feels it can make investors comfortable next year.
Rino Mastrotto Client Call and presentation are now available on Rino Mastrotto’s page.
Bonds will be higher on hopes for relief from rises in business rates. The company had said the increase would be