- Below is the VMEDO2 Live Discussion, edited into smaller videos for your convenience - for speed listening, go to the settings wheel on the bottom right of the video and choose playback speed - after one minute video becomes high-resolution -

Intro, Legal and Cap Structure - 6 Mar 25

Industry and Segments - 6 mar 25

CTIL - 6 Mar 25

Cash Flow - 6 Mar 25

Investment Discussion - 6 Mar 25
Please see our updated analysis here.
VM02 has seen stabilisation and a little growth return to its Mobile and Fixed segments. Both are mature in terms of market penetration, but
The Three deal is part of the same broad strategy that prompted Telefonica/Liberty Global to buy Netomnia. Owning more of
Telefonica views the UK as one of its four key markets and intends to continue consolidating the Alt-net broadband providers. In the long term, this
The acquisition of Neomnia by Nexfibre will result in a cash inflow of GBP950m for VMED, leading to a reduction in leverage of 0.3x. It is a
Subscriber numbers were a little above our expectations, but the friction in Revenue and EBITDA continues. There will be at best a modest rise in
Adding Infravia Capital to the group, looking to buy Netomnia points to Telefonica and Liberty bidding for the asset directly and possibly avoiding
The repricing of the €720m 2031 TL B from E+350 to E+300 is a positive for creditors. There is some upside from a possible bid by
The results are broadly in line with our model, with subscribers slightly lower. Operationally, VMED is stabilising, but growth
Liberty wants to split network assets from customers to boost multiples; Telefonica doesn’t. We expect Telefonica to want to take
The decision to end the network spinoff deal is a surprise and points to a divergence in strategy between Liberty and Telefonica. The impact is
Revenue was slightly short of our forecast as more subscribers than we expected churned off when the annual price rises were
VMED is the natural purchaser of Vodafone's spare spectrum; OFCOM needs to approve the deal but is unlikely to block it. VMED will now
If BT acquires TalkTalk it would solidify its leading position in the consumer broadband market. VMED will still be interested in acquiring the
Acquiring CityFibre would be marginal for Liberty/Telefonica unless the assets were acquired at a significant discount. Any potential purchase of
We are sceptical that a deal is imminent as Telefonica buying out Liberty’s VMO2 stake would threaten the Spanish company’s Investment
The impact on bondholders here is small, the leverage in the acquired asset is 5.5x (above the level at VMO2), but at <4% of the VMO2 debt stack, it is
The VMO2 merger of its B2B business with Daisy Group will be a non-cash deal. VMO2 will have 70% of the combined B2B business, which implies
Q125 operating results were slightly below our expectations. We expected additions but both mobile and fixed shed customers. The largest part of
VMEDO2 Live Discussion videos are available on the website, here.
All,
Please find our updated analysis here.
Sarria | VMEDO2 - Live Discussion
Thu, 6th March, 3 pm UK time | 10 am EST