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Intro, Legal and Cap Struct - 20 Mar 24

Description, Portfolio - 20 Mar 24

Liquidity, LVT, ICR - 20 Mar 24

Investment Discussion - 20 Mar 24
The company has reiterated its FY guidance of €500m - €600m of asset sales from the commercial portfolio. This would require
Securing a control and profit agreement with VIB would make an A&E of the Branicks, Sep 2026 SUNs, an easier sell to creditors. Consolidated LTV would
The Q2 numbers were broadly in line with our forecast. Regarding disposals, full-year guidance from the Commercial portfolio was maintained at
The AGM approved the issuance of €480m of convertible bonds; there are no plans yet to issue these bonds, but it is conceivable that part
Branicks announced, via press release, the full repayment of a €68 million promissory note. Including the
The asset sale will generate about EUR45m in gross proceeds and should generate EUR26m in sales proceeds. We are pleased to
Please note that the Branicks email sent on 10th July was incorrectly labelled as a model update. The analysis remains unchanged.
Apologies for any confusion caused.
Please find our unchanged analysis here.
Branicks is setting the scene for the upcoming Amend and Extend operation by repaying its VIB loan with an asset swap, which increases the security
Neutral overall for creditors, the VIB loan is repaid, and the security is released. The institutional business will see its value grow when the
The repayment of the remaining €111m promissory notes will have consumed most of €123m of on-balance-sheet cash at
The sale should see gross proceeds of around €70m. Assuming 90% ownership and a bank LTV of 20% => additional liquidity of
The Q1 results were a little below our expectations, but that was due to the level of rent disposed being higher than our estimates. The lack of completed asset
Please find our updated analysis here.
Branicks has managed to move some of its LTV issues to ViB, but now it needs to find a method of pushing the maturity of the SUNs out far enough that it can
Branicks will meet the remaining €110m in 2025 Promissory Note maturities from asset sale proceeds. The next catalyst will be an
The head of the institutional business is leaving, and the CEO will take over his role in a slimmed-down management board. We are relaxed about
The FY 24 results were broadly aligned with our expectations. We expect an A&E for the bonds in H2. Devaluation of property is slowing (-6%) in 2024, but there should be
Branicks Idea Pitch video is now live. You can find it on the Sarria website landing page and on the dedicated Branicks page.
The value of the logistics building sold will be around €2.5m. We expect the cash
The Bremen asset was not in the €168m of notarised but not closed sales. We estimate the additional liquidity for Branicks will be around
Please find our updated analysis here.
Branicks has pushed its maturities out and shifted liquidity between itself and ViB via asset sales, although that well is running low as the LTVs are