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Ocado - Leveraging the business.
Ocado - Leveraging the business.

Please find our slightly updated analysis here.

Operationally, Ocado is improving. The Retail JV is seeing growth again. The operational leverage of the Technology business is bigger than

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Aengus McMahon16 July 2024OCADO
Antolin - comment

Post an agreement with the lenders on an A&E, non-core asset sales and favourable market conditions, the Spanish auto-parts supplier launched a

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Saahil Dey16 July 2024ANTOLIN
Intrum - comment

This morning’s announcement appears to be the continuation of Cerberus’ deal earlier in the year. On its own, that deal was a one-off

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Wolfgang Felix16 July 2024INTRUM
Ocado - comment
Ocado - comment

Results were ahead of our expectations, and despite the slowdown in the CFC rollout, they are encouraging. Revenue at the M&S JV was higher than

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Aengus McMahon16 July 2024OCADO
Atos - comment

Atos has not disclosed the % of financial creditors who have signed the Lock-up Agreement, which implies the number is low, only stating a

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Tomás Mannion15 July 2024ATOS
OHLA - comment

The withdrawal of the Atitlan offer is a negative for the bonds. Having been invited to talk to the board Atitlan chose to let the offer lapse; this is likely

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Aengus McMahon15 July 2024OHLA, OHL
Stonegate -  If Coyote ran a pub chain…
Stonegate - If Coyote ran a pub chain…

Please find our updated analysis of Stonegate here.

So the market has been open and TDR haven’t pulled the trigger. Q2 had undeniably good news on the closing of key supply contracts that should

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Wolfgang Felix12 July 2024STONEGATE
CPI Property Group – Dealing with it
CPI Property Group – Dealing with it

Please find our analysis here.

CPI Property Group (CPI) expanded on cheap debt and minimal scrutiny; something it has in common with plenty of its peers. Corporate Governance is

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Aengus McMahon12 July 2024CPI, REAL ESTATE, RE
OHLA - comment

If the Atitlan deal expires today, it is a negative for bondholders as it means the larger cash injection would be off the table (for now); we expect

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Aengus McMahon12 July 2024OHLA, OHL
Intrum - comment

We are going through the details of the LUA this morning. However, away from all the details we find most notable that the support for the restructuring is

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Wolfgang Felix11 July 2024INTRUM
OHLA - comment

OHLA appointing Houlihan was necessary, but the bonds will initially trade slightly lower. The entry of an advisor to OHLA was unavoidable as an

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Aengus McMahon11 July 2024OHLA, OHL
Thames Water - comment

More bad news for Thames Water creditors and shareholders as Ofwat has only approved a 21% increase in average household water bills for the next

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Saahil Dey11 July 2024THAMES WATER
OHLA – Our chips - Positioning
OHLA – Our chips - Positioning

Please find our unchanged analysis here.

OHLA bonds have performed strongly since an agreement for the sale of CHUM was announced (with completion hoped for by year-end), and

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Aengus McMahon10 July 2024OHLA
Ardagh Group - comment

The SUNs have fallen five points since May, positive news for our short, but more reflective of the pressures to execute a restructuring than new

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Aengus McMahon10 July 2024ARDAGH
OHLA - comment

The two-month due diligence period demanded by Atitlan is a negative for OHLA creditors as it creates further uncertainty. The Amodio family is

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Aengus McMahon10 July 2024OHLA
Asda - comment

With Mohsin Issa looking to recruit a CEO, the timing for the cull of senior management and their replacement. A new CEO will want to

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Aengus McMahon9 July 2024ASDA
Accentro - comment

The failed DIM purchase is another murky transaction from Accentro. BAFIN wants to reopen the accounts for 2021 and 2022 to investigate

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Aengus McMahon9 July 2024ACCENTRO
OHLA - comment

Nothing substantial has changed; Atitlan has extended its offer to OHLA to the end of this week (12th July). We favour the more comprehensive solution

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Aengus McMahon9 July 2024OHLA
Ocado - comment

Plans for a new customer fulfilment centre CFC) for Aeon is positive news for Ocado and somewhat offsets the decision by Sobeys not to

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Aengus McMahon9 July 2024OCADO
Aroundtown - comment

Having left its Perps in place, Aroundtown’s Sr. financing now benefits from easier market access, allowing the company to continue rolling its

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Wolfgang Felix9 July 2024AROUNDTOWN
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