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Branicks - comment

Any future transactions between VIB and Branicks will already be under heavy scrutiny, so the cumulative impact of the latest Special Auditor request

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Aengus McMahon25 July 2024BRANICKS, DIC ASSET
Thames Water - comment

In a highly anticipated move, the Class A notes were downgraded by Moody’s to Ba1 (one notch into sub-investment grade). The Class B notes were

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Saahil Dey25 July 2024THAMES WATER
Iceland - comment
Iceland - comment

Iceland released their FY23/24 (to March 24) audited numbers this morning, with EBITDA at £171m in line with guidance given at the time of the

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Tomás Mannion25 July 2024ICELAND
Pfleiderer - Our thoughts on the A&E

Please find our unchanged analysis here.

Having digested the A&E proposal from Pfleiderer and its shareholder - Strategic Value Partners, creditors are asked to extend SVP’s equity option for 3 years

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Saahil Dey24 July 2024PFLEIDERER
Intrum - Focusing the minds
Intrum - Focusing the minds

Please find our updated analysis of Intrum here.

We’d continue to drag our feet on this deal. Over the summer we expect Intrum to improve its proposal at least once to get the deal done. Rising

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Wolfgang Felix24 July 2024INTRUM
CPI Property Group – Making a splash - Positioning
CPI Property Group – Making a splash - Positioning
Aengus McMahon24 July 2024CPI
Branicks - comment

The request by a minority shareholder for a special auditor at VIB to investigate the €250m loan (maturing in July 2025) to Branicks is a negative for

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Aengus McMahon24 July 2024DIC ASSET, BRANICKS
CPI Property Group - comment

With the squeeze out of minorities at the S Immo level, we are not surprised that CPI and Immofinanz are looking at a possible combination of

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Aengus McMahon24 July 2024CPI
Stonegate - comment

Who leaked our IM? £200m happens to be the precise requirement we modelled to reach the deal. We are hearing rumours / reading

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Wolfgang Felix24 July 2024STONEGATE
Thames Water - comment

The rating agencies are slowly downgrading over £10 billion of Thames Water bonds (issued via a whole business securitisation) from investment grade to junk. The consequences are

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Saahil Dey23 July 2024THAMES WATER
AG Graanul Invest: Waiting for General Winter
AG Graanul Invest: Waiting for General Winter

Please find our initiation and financial model on AG Graanul Invest here.

Due to variables that are beyond its control (pellet pricing, raw material availability, weather and the pace of inventory de-stocking by its

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Saahil Dey22 July 2024GRAANUL
Altice SFR France - comment

The FT have published some vague details on Altice’s financing concerning its stake in BT.  Drahi’s stake is worth c. £3.5bn and the FT are reporting

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Tomás Mannion22 July 2024ALTICE SFR, ALTICE
Lowell - Better Places
Lowell - Better Places

Please find our updated analysis of Lowell here.

Having done endless work on the name in 2020, we find the situation relatively clear-cut now. Back then, selling CDS to fill the gap was a natural strategy. Now the ends are

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Wolfgang Felix20 July 2024LOWELL
OHLA - comment

If the latest iteration of the capital raise is completed, it is a positive for bondholders (and the Amodio family). However, nothing is over the finish

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Aengus McMahon19 July 2024OHLA, OHL
OHLA - comment 2

Illinois failed to follow its laws in awarding a $323m contract to upgrade a Chicago Toll Road, and OHLA has been disadvantaged, but

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Aengus McMahon18 July 2024OHLA, OHL
OHLA - comment 1

We have said since the beginning that the banks are pushing the capital increase. The latest piece confirms this and underlines that

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Aengus McMahon18 July 2024OHLA, OHL
Intrum - comment
Intrum - comment

Just as this name becomes all about the servicing business, margins in the segment are improving significantly. After hiring new

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Wolfgang Felix18 July 2024INTRUM
Pfleiderer - comment

Today the German manufacturer of premium engineered wood products launched an amend and extend of its existing sustainability-linked senior

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Saahil Dey18 July 2024PFLEIDERER
Antolin - comment

Antolin today priced their €250 million senior secured notes due 2030 at 10.375%. Use of proceeds is to refinance the existing

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Saahil Dey18 July 2024ANTOLIN
Thames Water - comment

In the King’s Speech, the newly elected labour government has signalled a series of new regulations which include making water company bosses face

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Saahil Dey18 July 2024THAMES WATER
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