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Kem One - Uncertain times ahead - Initiation
Kem One - Uncertain times ahead - Initiation

Please find our model on Kem One here.

After a brief conversation on the desk, the consensus is that Kem One is not investible at the current time. The current outlook for PVC and caustic soda, especially given the excess capacity in the European market, implies EBITDA will remain subdued in

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Tomás Mannion10 December 2024KEM ONE
SBB Norden - comment

The tender/exchange offers announced today seem to offer plenty to investors without a significant increase in risk. We suspect this operation has a lot to do with

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Aengus McMahon10 December 2024SBB
Grifols - comment

Grifols have ceded to pressure from minority shareholders and appointed two further directors to the Board.  Mr Paul Henderson’s appointment follows

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Tomás Mannion10 December 2024GRIFOLS
Branicks - comment

The value of the logistics building sold will be around €2.5m. We expect the cash

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Aengus McMahon10 December 2024DIC ASSET, BRANICKS
Vivion - comment
Vivion - comment

The Q3 trading update had no surprises, but we will have an opportunity to ask questions on the upcoming call. Vivion has now dealt with the

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Aengus McMahon10 December 2024VIVION
Graanul - Talking up a refinancing
Graanul - Talking up a refinancing

Please find our updated analysis post the Q3 2024 results on Graanul here.

Graanul is still suffering from transitory issues (inventory de-stocking & non existent spot market) though it has made progress in its contracted business and

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Saahil Dey9 December 2024GRAANUL
Clariane - comment

As part of the Q3 revenue release, Clariane confirmed they met the €300m minimum liquidity requirements on the 3rd of November intending to

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Tomás Mannion9 December 2024CLARIANE
Victoria Plc - comment

A new shareholder has appeared on Victoria’s register, Philosophy Capital Management LLC, with a 6.6% stake.  In context, this is a £3m position and

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Tomás Mannion9 December 2024VICTORIA
Thames Water - comment

We were discussing on the desk yesterday how one would actually prevent Thames Water from directly or indirectly paying fines with the

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Wolfgang Felix6 December 2024THAMES WATER
Thames Water - comment

We like how the Covalis bid could work with lower price hikes “so long as concessions could be reached on fines and the pace of capital investment in

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Wolfgang Felix6 December 2024THAMES WATER
Victoria Plc - comment

The share register in Victoria Plc continues to evolve as The Spruce House Partnership exits its position.  From holding 20.7% at year-end, they have reduced to

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Tomás Mannion6 December 2024VICTORIA
ASDA - comment

The additional €185m loan at ASDA will refinance the GBP300m SSNs maturing in September 2026. The SSN coupon is 4.5%, which will be

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Aengus McMahon5 December 2024ASDA
SBB Norden - comment

The additional €53m of EMTN holders seeking to accelerate their holdings makes little difference to the case being heard in the English Hig

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Aengus McMahon5 December 2024SBB
Tullow Oil - comment

Rahul Dhir, the CEO of Tullow has indicated his intention to resign from Tullow in 2025.  This is a surprise with Tullow entering into a crucial period with

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Tomás Mannion5 December 2024TULLOW
Standard Profil - comment
Standard Profil - comment

Volume, volume and more importantly, the lack of volume.  Standard Profil reported disappointing results yesterday, with revenue down 9% from

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Tomás Mannion5 December 2024STANDARD PROFIL
Pfleiderer - hanging in there - Positioning
Pfleiderer - hanging in there - Positioning

Dear All,

Please find our updated analysis post the Q3 2024 results on Pfleiderer here.

We remain constructive on the Pfleiderer situation and the amended high yield bonds. Hence we intend to keep our current exposure in the

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Saahil Dey4 December 2024PFLEIDERER
Klockner Pentaplast - comment
Klockner Pentaplast - comment

We have decided to sell our 2% position in the senior secured notes at 96.5 giving us a nice profit of ten points in five months as we feel the upside is limited given the

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Saahil Dey4 December 2024KLOCKNER
Adler Pelzer - comment

We are slightly puzzled about what Adler Pelzer need €185m minimum cash for, but the entrance of the Hayashis and the partially drawn RCF suggest, and now the

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Wolfgang Felix4 December 2024ADLER PELZER
Thames Water - comment

We are inclined to dismiss the Castle Water offer, despite the large headline tag of £4bn. We don’t have any details beyond what is in the press, but

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Wolfgang Felix3 December 2024THAMES WATER
OHLA - comment

OHLA expects to complete the SSN exchange and the first part of the equity raise by mid-December (from the new investors), which is positive for

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Aengus McMahon3 December 2024OHLA
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