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Stonegate - Half Time
Stonegate - Half Time

Please find our updated analysis of Stonegate here.

Since management floated its performance improvement/turnaround plan, some nine months of the 18-month horizon have passed and it’s worth

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Buy SideWolfgang Felix27 March 2025STONEGATE
Kem One - some clarity, lots of uncertainty
Kem One - some clarity, lots of uncertainty

Please find our updated analysis post the cleansing document on the new super senior facility here.  

The new Draw Term Loan has given clarity and liquidity to Kem One. However, the fundamental problems remain. The prolonged downturn in recent years

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Buy SideTomás Mannion27 March 2025KEM ONE
Morrisons - comment
Morrisons - comment

Morrisons had a good start to the year (to end Jan). Q1 sales +2.1% LFL, in contrast to the -4.2% at ASDA. The company has increased its

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Buy Side, Sell SideAengus McMahon27 March 2025MORRISONS
Branicks - comment

Branicks will meet the remaining €110m in 2025 Promissory Note maturities from asset sale proceeds. The next catalyst will be an

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Aengus McMahon27 March 2025BRANICKS
OHLA - comment

The Amodio brothers are trying to prevent José Elías's allies from controlling the board, and he, in turn, is trying to dilute the Amodio

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Aengus McMahon27 March 2025OHLA
Atalian - comment

Terrible timing on the announcement and indicative that the internal machinations at Atalian have not gone away. Atalian losing

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Aengus McMahon27 March 2025ATALIAN
Emeria - comment
Emeria - comment

Crucially the company has not yet released the Q4 financial statements. Revenues are right on target and cost management has been some €10m worse than

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Martha Felix27 March 2025EMERIA
Arountown - comment
Arountown - comment

AroundTown released its FY24 accounts, demonstrating continued European real estate market improvement. AroundTown continues to

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Sell Side, Buy SideTomás Mannion26 March 2025AROUNDTOWN
Branicks - comment

The head of the institutional business is leaving, and the CEO will take over his role in a slimmed-down management board. We are relaxed about

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Buy Side, Sell SideAengus McMahon26 March 2025BRANICKS, DIC ASSET
OHLA - comment

The execution of Guarantees in favour of Kuwait will tie up €39.5m of liquidity. OHLA has sufficient liquidity, but the outflow raises the possibility of further

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Buy Side, Sell SideAengus McMahon26 March 2025OHLA
Antolin - comment

We took that short just in time. It turns out, however, that we don’t have to wait for Q1 to look forward to covenant discussions. We hear that not

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Buy Side, Sell SideWolfgang Felix26 March 2025ANTOLIN
Tullow - comment
Tullow - comment

Tullow - No CEO, quickly becoming a one-trick pony. Tullow has sold its working interest in Gabon for $300m (to close over the summer), which leaves Tullow increasingly

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Buy Side, Sell SideTomás Mannion25 March 2025TULLOW
Morrisons - comment

Morrisons is cutting costs rather than prices. There are only 365 in-store redundancies, so the cash impact will be

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Buy Side, Sell SideAengus McMahon25 March 2025MORRISONS
Clariane - comment

Colisée, a peer of Clariane, has seen its Term Loan B price fall into the 50s from the low 90s due to its overleveraged balance sheet and some

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Buy Side, Sell SideTomás Mannion24 March 2025CLARIANE
ASDA - comment

The latest price cuts announced will have been part of the plan rather than an additional tranche. Company-calculated leverage at FY24 was 2.9x, including supply chain

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Buy Side, Sell SideAengus McMahon24 March 2025ASDA
AMS Osram - comment

AMS Osram released its Annual Report this morning. We are reviewing the details but have already commented on the Q4 numbers released

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Buy Side, Sell SideTomás Mannion21 March 2025AMS, OSRAM
Altice International - comment

Altice International are again trying to sell their Covilhã Data centre in Portugal, with press reports stating that the base valuation exceeds €100m / close to

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Buy Side, Sell SideTomás Mannion21 March 2025ALTICE INTERNATIONAL, ALTICE
The Very Group - Live Discussion
The Very Group - Live Discussion

The Very Group Live Discussion videos are available on the website, here.

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Buy SideMartha Felix20 March 2025THE VERY GROUP, VERY
Antolin - Thoughts on covenants and what if...? - Positioning
Antolin - Thoughts on covenants and what if...? - Positioning

Please find our only slightly updated analysis here.

We have been critical of Antolin for a while. But as covenants, creditors and rating agencies are set to define the next months for the auto supplier, we think that a breach

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Buy SideWolfgang Felix20 March 2025ANTOLIN
Kem One - comment

Kem One has announced the anticipated new money finance to meet its liquidity needs, settling on €200m, €120m funded at closing and €80m effectively as a

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Buy Side, Sell SideTomás Mannion20 March 2025KEM ONE
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