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Isabel Marant - comment
Isabel Marant - comment
Sell SideTomás Mannion29 April 2025ISABEL MARANT
Matalan - The bet
Matalan - The bet

Please find our substantially updated analysis of Matalan here.

The bet with Matalan is mean reversion. If it happens within three years, then the bonds return 23%. But we write “happens”, because it requires the

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Buy SideWolfgang Felix28 April 2025MATALAN
ASDA - comment

ASDA is succeeding in positioning itself as the cheapest supermarket, but it will take time for the lower prices to translate into

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Sell SideAengus McMahon28 April 2025ASDA
Accentro - comment

Bondholders will support the amendment postponing payments due in June 2025 until September. Having supported the

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Sell SideAengus McMahon28 April 2025ACCENTRO
PizzaExpress - comment

The official consent solicitation is out with a not-so-hot 5bps early bird fee for those consenting before May 12th. However, we note that

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Sell SideWolfgang Felix28 April 2025PIZZA EXPRESS
Isabel Marant - comment
Isabel Marant - comment

A stronger performance in wholesale has resulted in Isabel Marant posting stronger than expected Q4 and FY24 numbers. The wholesale segment (B2B) continues under

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Sell SideTomás Mannion28 April 2025ISABEL MARANT
Kem One - comment
Kem One - comment

Kem One held its Q4 and FY24 call yesterday, but it was very much backwards-focused and would only answer questions about FY24 performance. Management reiterated

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Sell SideTomás Mannion25 April 2025KEM ONE
Klöckner Pentaplast - comment

The A&E of the SUNs, now 2LNs, is done. The new €300m paper will mature in September 2029 and have a 2.5% PIK element added to

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Sell SideWolfgang Felix25 April 2025KLOCKNER
Oriflame - comment
Oriflame - comment

Q125 revenues were better. The company had slightly underperformed our model in 2024, but on the face of it, the drop in revenues appears to be

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Sell SideWolfgang Felix25 April 2025ORIFLAME
Ardagh Group - comment
Ardagh Group - comment

Glass operations are not what’s driving bond prices, and the maintained 2025 guidance doesn’t change much for creditors. AMP stock jumped

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Sell SideAengus McMahon25 April 2025ARDAGH
Branicks – Time to grasp the nettle
Branicks – Time to grasp the nettle

Please find our updated analysis here.

Branicks has managed to move some of its LTV issues to ViB, but now it needs to find a method of pushing the maturity of the SUNs out far enough that it can

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Aengus McMahon24 April 2025DIC ASSET, BRANICKS
Selecta - comment

Yesterday’s consent request to slightly lift the facilities basket back to its original size of €200m, is modest and will be agreed. The required threshold is

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Sell SideWolfgang Felix24 April 2025SELECTA
ASDA - comment

ASDA is calibrating its Roll Back programme by quietly removing some products and increasing the number of items that are discounted. Rational behaviour will

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Sell SideAengus McMahon24 April 2025ASDA
Klöckner Pentaplast - comment

The company now has support from almost 97% of SUN holders for the A&E, and the transaction is expected to settle tomorrow. The new 2nd Lien notes will receive

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Sell SideWolfgang Felix23 April 2025KLOCKNER
Kem One - comment

Kem One released its Annual Report this morning and will hold a conference call tomorrow (Thursday) afternoon at 2:30 pm. As part of the cleansing presentation,

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Sell SideTomás Mannion23 April 2025KEM ONE
SBB Norden - comment

Ilija Batlja looks to have taken the up-tiering of Hybrids at SBB in December as a template. His personal investment vehicle has

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Sell SideAengus McMahon22 April 2025SBB
ASDA - comment

Nothing about increased price competition is good, although all parties are acting rationally for now. The price cuts launched

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Sell SideAengus McMahon22 April 2025ASDA
Ocado - comment

Losing the head of the technology business is a blow, but Tim Steiner will be perfectly capable of stepping in in the short term. However, Steiner will want to

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Sell SideAengus McMahon17 April 2025OCADO
Thames Water - comment

That the appeals would be thrown out was all but certain (see previous notes). But not being lawyers, we find ourselves asking what

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Sell SideWolfgang Felix16 April 2025THAMES WATER
Altice International - comment
Altice International - comment

No mention of an Altice SFR-type transaction on the Q4 and FY24 call. Revenue is marginally down for the year, EBITDA 3% lower at €1.6bn. Some of the underperformance in EBITDA is explained by

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Sell SideTomás Mannion16 April 2025ALTICE INTERNATIONAL, ALTICE
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