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Tullow - Postponement of Pain - Model Update
Tullow - Postponement of Pain - Model Update

Please find our updated analysis on Tullow here.

The Tullow Oil situation has changed significantly over the past few years, yet we once again find ourselves concentrating on the same fundamental issue, production, as we

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Tomás Mannion30 October 2025TULLOW
Intrum - comment
Intrum - comment

Management will include weighing up possible further liability management in the upcoming strategic review. Q3 was soft, with

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Wolfgang Felix30 October 2025INTRUM
Boparan - comment
Boparan - comment

The Q4 numbers exceeded our expectations, but we expect FYE 2026 to be tougher, as grocery customers seek to shore up their

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Aengus McMahon30 October 2025BOPARAN
Virgin Media O2 - comment
Virgin Media O2 - comment

The results are broadly in line with our model, with subscribers slightly lower. Operationally, VMED is stabilising, but growth

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Aengus McMahon30 October 2025VMEDO2
Adler Pelzer - comment

We are reading this morning that some APG bondholders have stopped lending out their bonds, driving a squeeze of

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Wolfgang Felix29 October 2025ADLER PELZER
Consolidated Energy - comment

The cancellation of possible gas deals between Venezuela and Trinidad & Tobago poses no short-term risk to supplies of natural gas to

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Aengus McMahon29 October 2025CONSOLIDATED
Aston Martin - comment
Aston Martin - comment

The Q3 and updated FY25 numbers are a little above our recent model update. For now, we are not altering our model and still expect new cash will be

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Aengus McMahon29 October 2025ASTON MARTIN
Ardagh Group - comment

By not reopening the consent solicitation with the PIK holders, Ardagh will be heading down the Scheme of Arrangement route. We expect the

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Aengus McMahon29 October 2025ARDAGH
Ocado - comment

Calling the remaining £55m of the 3.875% 2026 SUNs is no surprise and will have only a

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Aengus McMahon29 October 2025OCADO
Emeis - comment
Emeis - comment

Similar to Clariane earlier in the week, Emeis reported only its third-quarter revenue figures, which reflected an improvement in

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Tomás Mannion29 October 2025EMEIS, ORPEA
CPI Group - comment

CPI’s cost of debt has risen, like everyone else’s. Despite a 250bp rise of the 2.75% coupon on the SUNs that are being called, the private

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Aengus McMahon28 October 2025CPI
Ardagh Group - comment

The consent solicitation announcement indicates that Ardagh will need to complete its restructuring through a scheme of arrangement (SoA), unless

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Aengus McMahon28 October 2025ARDAGH
Heimstaden Bostad/AB - comment
Heimstaden Bostad/AB - comment

Heimstaden Bostad has maintained its positive trajectory, reporting a like-for-like rental growth of 4.5%, which has contributed to a continued

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Tomás Mannion28 October 2025HEIMSTADEN
Transcom - comment
Transcom - comment

Although revenue came in slightly below expectations, Transcom delivered a modest outperformance at the EBITDA level, driven primarily by

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Tomás Mannion28 October 2025TRANSCOM
Clariane - comment
Clariane - comment

Clariane released its Q3 revenue last night, showing further improvement in occupancy rates and therefore revenue. Revenue, on an organic basis, was

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Tomás Mannion28 October 2025CLARIANE
Punch - comment
Punch - comment

The Q425 call was a non-event. Like its bonds, the company continues to do well in this environment. Anyone who likes 7.5% yield needn’t

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Wolfgang Felix27 October 2025PUNCH
Ardagh Group - comment
Ardagh Group - comment

There was no results announcement from Ardagh Group (Aengus) yesterday, likely due to the ongoing consent solicitation process. Meanwhile, AMP

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Aengus McMahon24 October 2025ARDAGH
Accentro - comment

The increase in Adler’s ownership is part of the Restructuring plan, so it was expected. Adler will not be able to outvote the

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Aengus McMahon24 October 2025ACCENTRO
Lowell - More Trick than Treat - How the Halloween Scenario works.
Lowell - More Trick than Treat - How the Halloween Scenario works.

Please find our updated analysis of Lowell here. 


Having long collected debts on either side of its balance sheet, Lowell now seems to collect restructurings. The currently rumoured LME seems only

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Wolfgang Felix23 October 2025LOWELL
Altice SFR - comment

Orange published its third-quarter results this morning. While there were limited remarks regarding its joint venture bid for Altice SFR, management clarified that

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Tomás Mannion23 October 2025ALTICE SFR, ALTICE, ALTICE INTERNATIONAL
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