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CPI Property Group – Returning Slowly - Positioning.
CPI Property Group – Returning Slowly - Positioning.

Please find our updated analysis here

CPI has weathered the European real estate crisis and its governance issues well. In 12 months, CPI’s five-year debt has tightened from 8.75% to 5.5%. CPI is

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Aengus McMahon23 July 2025CPI
AMS Osram - Reading the Tea Leaves - Positioning
AMS Osram - Reading the Tea Leaves - Positioning

Dear All,

Please find our unchanged investment analysis here.

AMS Osram is scheduled to release its Q2 results next Thursday. However, following this morning’s announcement, we are reducing our

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Tomás Mannion23 July 2025AMS, OSRAM
AMS Osram - comment

AMS Osram has successfully raised €500 million by tapping its 2029 Euro and Dollar bonds, with the proceeds primarily used to fund the

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Tomás Mannion23 July 2025AMS, OSRAM
CPI Property Group - comment

The tender offer was a resounding success. CPI increased the maximum tender offer from EUR100m to EUR180m, and over

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Aengus McMahon23 July 2025CPI
Morrisons/Ocado - comment

Aldi grew sales 6.3% (vs inflation of 5.2%) and continues to close the gap on Morrisons. Given that grocery inflation is at the same

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Aengus McMahon23 July 2025OCADO, MORRISONS
ASDA - comment

The slowing in the pace of decline in sales will be a relief to Allan Leighton. There is still a long way to go for the retailer, but this

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Aengus McMahon23 July 2025ASDA
Tullow - comment

Tullow has taken another step in completing the sale of its Kenyan assets, signing the sale and purchase agreement with Auron Energy, an affiliate of

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Tomás Mannion22 July 2025TULLOW
Selecta - comment

We are not sure exactly what today’s announcement meant to convey, but the 2) paper is fully subscribed now. Of all remaining

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Wolfgang Felix22 July 2025SELECTA
Thames Water - comment

Ofwat has agreed to postpone the referral of the price review decision to the CMA until October 22nd. According to the regulator, the three

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Wolfgang Felix21 July 2025THAMES WATER
Atos - comment

Atos released its H1 liquidity position as required by various credit agreements. Cash and liquidity have deteriorated by €374 million but

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Tomás Mannion21 July 2025ATOS
Ocado - comment
Ocado - comment

Technology Revenues of £277m were ahead of our expectations, and this is reflected in EBITDA of £73m vs our forecast of £51m (excluding Ocado Retail). Capex of

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Aengus McMahon17 July 2025OCADO
SES/Intelsat - comment

SES has completed its acquisition of Intelsat after receiving FCC approval earlier this week. Our model already included a pro forma

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Wolfgang Felix17 July 2025SES
Stonegate - comment

Moody’s downgrade to Caa1 is deserved, even if the company has already hired Alix partners and is trimming its management layers. These actions are

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Wolfgang Felix17 July 2025STONEGATE
CPI Property Group - comment

The tender price of 107.75 is nearly 2 points above the offer price for the 7% May/2029 SUNs over the last couple of weeks, and we would expect

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Aengus McMahon16 July 2025CPI
Morrisons – Clean up

Please find our unchanged analysis here.

Morrisons is pushing out some of its senior secured debt and up-tiering around half a turn of SUN’s debt. The transaction makes sense as

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Aengus McMahon15 July 2025MORRISONS
Heimstaden - comment

The tender offer (at par) for the 2027 bonds has been successful, with €345m of the €400m outstanding tendering. We expect the

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Aengus McMahon15 July 2025HEIMSTADEN
Consolidated Energy and Vivion Idea Pitch Videos Now Available
Consolidated Energy and Vivion Idea Pitch Videos Now Available

The new Idea Pitch videos are now available.
You can find them on the Sarria website landing page as well as on each individual company’s dedicated page.

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Wolfgang Felix15 July 2025VIVION, CONSOLIDATED
Thames Water - comment

We previously wrote that the company and creditors are the closely alligned in the negotiations. They are united by a common command of

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Wolfgang Felix15 July 2025THAMES WATER
ASDA - comment

The letter from the union is just a warning shot, and previous GMB strikes have been small, creating only minor

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Aengus McMahon14 July 2025ASDA
Morrisons - comment

The tone of the release suggests that staff are hiding in store rooms, and the new policy will speed up shelf restocking. The move will not

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Aengus McMahon14 July 2025MORRISONS
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