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Punch - comment
Punch - comment

The Q425 call was a non-event. Like its bonds, the company continues to do well in this environment. Anyone who likes 7.5% yield needn’t

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Wolfgang Felix27 October 2025PUNCH
Ardagh Group - comment
Ardagh Group - comment

There was no results announcement from Ardagh Group (Aengus) yesterday, likely due to the ongoing consent solicitation process. Meanwhile, AMP

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Aengus McMahon24 October 2025ARDAGH
Accentro - comment

The increase in Adler’s ownership is part of the Restructuring plan, so it was expected. Adler will not be able to outvote the

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Aengus McMahon24 October 2025ACCENTRO
Lowell - More Trick than Treat - How the Halloween Scenario works.
Lowell - More Trick than Treat - How the Halloween Scenario works.

Please find our updated analysis of Lowell here. 


Having long collected debts on either side of its balance sheet, Lowell now seems to collect restructurings. The currently rumoured LME seems only

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Wolfgang Felix23 October 2025LOWELL
Altice SFR - comment

Orange published its third-quarter results this morning. While there were limited remarks regarding its joint venture bid for Altice SFR, management clarified that

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Tomás Mannion23 October 2025ALTICE SFR, ALTICE, ALTICE INTERNATIONAL
Ardagh Group - Endgame
Ardagh Group - Endgame

Please find our updated analysis here.

There is still some drama around the PIKs, but whether the process is consensual or vis the courts, the restructuring of the Ardagh debt structure is nearly

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Aengus McMahon22 October 2025ARDAGH
Morrisons - comment

Supermarkets are looking for ways to boost gross margins, and a more aggressive approach to lagging outlets

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Aengus McMahon22 October 2025MORRISONS
OHLA - comment

OHLA has requested that Moody’s cease covering it, leaving Fitch as the sole agency providing ratings on the company. The direct impact on

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Aengus McMahon22 October 2025OHLA, OHL
Consolidated Energy - comment

The tensions between the US and Venezuela are hurting Consolidated Energy (CONSEN) bonds. We think the concerns are overdone. Delays in

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Aengus McMahon22 October 2025CONSOLIDATED
Eutelsat - comment
Eutelsat - comment

We are due to update our Eutelsat and SES models, but yesterday’s Eutelsat Q126 results were largely on target. Within that, however, we are seeing

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Wolfgang Felix22 October 2025EUTELSAT
Worldline  - comment
Worldline - comment

Q3 revenues were on target. Management had a useful slide explaining the structure of the overdraft cash pooling / upstream loan - largely in line with

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Wolfgang Felix22 October 2025WORLDLINE
Antolin - comment

The company is playing for time. Following the publication of a Spanish press article in the summer, conversation surrounding Antolin seems to

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Wolfgang Felix22 October 2025ANTOLIN
Matalan - comment
Matalan - comment

LTM EBITDA of £70m is now significantly ahead of our projections of £60m at the start of the year. Once adjusting for the 14th week, Q225 itself

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Wolfgang Felix22 October 2025MATALAN
Ardagh - comment

DB/Carronade are holdouts in the Ardagh restructuring with 13% of the PIKs. They have nuisance value as they can prevent Ardagh reaching

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Aengus McMahon21 October 2025ARDAGH
Thames Water - comment

Originally due for today, Thames Water has agreed to defer its appeal to the CMA regarding Ofwat’s determined pricing and

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Wolfgang Felix21 October 2025THAMES WATER
Aston Martin - comment

The downgrade to CCC+ will restrict some investors; however, the overall impact is small. Management has already highlighted that some

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Aengus McMahon21 October 2025ASTON MARTIN
Atos - comment
Atos - comment

Atos released very weak revenue figures. However, as the Company does not disclose EBITDA figures, we are unable to verify

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Tomás Mannion21 October 2025ATOS
Victoria Plc - comment

The 2028 bondholders have rejected the exchange offer from Victoria Plc, choosing not to accept the distressed offer to uptier the balance. Admittedly, we had

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Tomás Mannion21 October 2025VICTORIA
 Flora - Plant-Based Cash Cow - Model Update
Flora - Plant-Based Cash Cow - Model Update

Please find our updated analysis on Flora here.

We have had an excellent history with Flora, having invested in the previous Flora “sub” bonds in August and December 2022 at

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Tomás Mannion20 October 2025FLORA, UPFIELD
Morrisons - comment

Having store staff walking about the store filling baskets is the least efficient solution, particularly when it is their second job. In-store picking

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Aengus McMahon20 October 2025MORRISONS
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