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Maxeda - comment - Positioning
Maxeda - comment - Positioning

We are hitting first offers this morning at 80c/€, five points above the best offer we are seeing - there will be a little squeeze today. Even so,

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Wolfgang Felix2 February 2026MAXEDA
INEOS Quattro - comment

Ineos Quattro released its Q4 trading statement, confirming the previously rumoured liquidity measures. The group has extended its trade receivables

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Tomás Mannion2 February 2026INEOS QUATTRO
Kem One - comment

Kem One’s existing lenders have provided a further €30m of liquidity support, underlining the company’s ongoing cash burn. Management’s own

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Tomás Mannion2 February 2026KEM ONE
Flora - comment

Flora has completed the refinancing of its senior secured bank facilities, extending maturities to October 2030. Following these

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Tomás Mannion2 February 2026FLORA
Modulaire - comment

Q4 25 Underlying EBITDA of €133m is about at the market consensus, and we expect cash EBITDA to be above the

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Aengus McMahon2 February 2026MODULAIRE
Ubisoft - We're playing for it - Initiation - Positioning
Ubisoft - We're playing for it - Initiation - Positioning

Please find our initiation on Ubisoft here.

It gets interesting when founder management are officially gamers, and in a game they’ve written themselves. It turns out, nobody’s gun is

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Wolfgang Felix2 February 2026UBISOFT
Ardagh Group - comment

The ARD Finance litigation in New York continues; PIK holders are seeking to prevent the Ch 15 filing of ARD Finance. PIK holders are being

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Aengus McMahon30 January 2026ARDAGH
Casino - comment

Having followed Casino for an extended period, we monitor the ongoing developments from afar. The latest is that Jean-Charles Naouri has been

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Tomás Mannion30 January 2026CASINO
Eutelsat - comment

We have written before that we’ve never been fans of the EQT deal, although for a while it seemed that Eutelsat had no other option. Now that it has

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Wolfgang Felix30 January 2026EUTELSAT
ASDA - comment

The mistakes in pay packets were initially revealed in March 2024. The sums involved are small, so ASDA is being magnanimous in settling

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Aengus McMahon30 January 2026ASDA
Ubisoft - coming soon
Martha Felix30 January 2026UBISOFT
Ocado - comment

Underperforming CFCs are being shut as suppliers tweak their delivery models. We are surprised at the low level of compensation being

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Aengus McMahon29 January 2026OCADO
CPI Property Group - comment

CPI is tendering at the short end of its curve. The EUR 1.75% 01/2030 now trades at around 5.75%, so the coupon shock of

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Aengus McMahon29 January 2026CPI
Synthomer - comment
Synthomer - comment

We will not be closing our short yet. The Winter Statement put EBITDA below guidance (c£142m), but above our estimates (which excluded

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Aengus McMahon29 January 2026SYNTHOMER
Intrum - Positioning
Intrum - Positioning

We are taking the short off this morning. Following the news that Cerberus had bought Intrum’s minority stake in the JVs, we had shorted the

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Wolfgang Felix29 January 2026INTRUM
Ineos Quattro - comment

Ineos held an informal conference call hosted by Bank of America on Monday. While details are still emerging, the commentary broadly echoed the

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Tomás Mannion29 January 2026INEOS QUATTRO
Victoria -Who is paying for future growth? - Model Update
Victoria -Who is paying for future growth? - Model Update

Please find our updated analysis on Victoria PLC here. 

The reason for the existence of Victoria has historically been to consolidate the carpet/flooring manufacturing market, resulting in

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Tomás Mannion28 January 2026VICTORIA
Aroundtown - comment

The successful issuance of a €750m perpetual bond at a 5.125% coupon highlights strong demand for BB+ rated real estate credit. The coupon

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Tomás Mannion28 January 2026AROUNDTOWN
Graanul - comment

The FT reports that the Japanese government is reducing subsidies for the biomass sector, framing the development negatively as a cut to

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Tomás Mannion28 January 2026GRAANUL
Mobico - comment

German press reports prompted a statement from the company today. The statement was scant but overall affirmative. According to the press, there seems to be a

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Wolfgang Felix28 January 2026MOBICO
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